After G1 in the division final, US media predicts the probability of winning the championship: Pacers are still despised, with the highest number of up to 75%

On May 23, the league announced the list of the best defensive team today. The first team was Amen, Zhu Meng, Daniels, Mobri and Dort. Fans who want to know more can check out my first post today. In addition to the announcement of personal awards recently, the division finals are more concerned by everyone. Now that the G1 of the four teams has been played, the US media also gave the latest probability of winning the championship. Let’s take a look together. Is it reasonable? The Pacers are considered to have a 6.7% chance of winning the championship. Even though they won the G1 of the series, they are still not optimistic that they can eliminate the Knicks, and the probability of reaching the division final is 42.5%. There is indeed a great luck component in the Pacers being able to reverse the Knicks in G1, but to be honest, if the two teams keep fighting like this, then I think the Pacers may be even more likely to eliminate the Knicks. After all, the Pacers are rotated by 10 people, while the Knicks are rotated by 8 people. The key is that Thibodeau still relies on the core, and physical fitness is a shortcoming in this case.

The Pacers were able to reach the Eastern Conference Finals and eliminate the two strong teams, the Bucks and the Cavaliers, because they rely on their physical fitness and lineup thickness advantages. The Pacers used full-game defense to exhaust their opponents. I guess they will use the same trick again in this round of the series. As of now, the Thunder may not be afraid of their 10-man rotation. After all, the Thunder also has such a lineup. Halliburton proved how strong his key ball ability is in the playoffs. I think the biggest advantage of this team compared to the other three teams is their coach Carlisle.

Timberwolves

Timberwolves are considered to have a chance of winning the championship of 8.5%. The Timberwolves lost to the Thunder in G1 in the series, but the Timberwolves players and fans do not seem to be convinced because they think that the Thunder won the game by free throws. To be honest, even if Alexander didn't have so many free throws in the second half, the Timberwolves could not beat it. Their biggest problem was that they were targeted by their opponents. The Thunder made the Timberwolves singles. Randle was indeed strong in singles, but he could not defeat the entire Thunder team, and only Randle supported it, and eventually he also lost.

Randall is indeed the biggest advantage of the Timberwolves against the Thunder, because any player of the Thunder cannot match him, but how to make Randall able to drive the whole team well is the key. In the G1 series, except for Randall and Edwards, the Timberwolves have not scored in double digits. How could this win? And it is on the stage of the Western Conference Finals. In addition, the Timberwolves like to defend too much. As a result, G1 was shot by the opponent in the series with a three-point shooting percentage of more than 50%. How can I win? Hope they can make good adjustments.

Knicks

Knicks are considered to have a probability of winning the championship of 9.7%. Although the Knicks lost the G1 of the series, they once led by 17 points in the fourth quarter. It can be said that if it weren't for Nesmith's super three-pointer, there would be no suspense in this game, but this is part of the game. Thibodeau's stubborn single defense allowed the team to taste the loss. The reason why the Pacers' Carlisle is their advantage is that Carlisle is too good at adapting, which is something that the coaches of the other three teams do not have. However, if the two teams perform normally, the Knicks will indeed have a greater chance of winning.

If you want to defeat the Pacers, the Knicks cannot fight against the opponent. What they should do is to play top offense and defense to establish a big score lead in advance, and directly defeat the opponent, rather than attacking against the opponent. If both sides fight against the opponent, the young Pacers players have a feel and the opponent is physically abundant, how do you play? The Knicks are the strongest starting lineup among the four teams now, and they are also the worst substitute. I think Thibodeau should give Payne more playing time, so he can stand up on the bench to help the team.

Thunder

Thunder are considered to have a probability of winning the championship as high as 75.1%, and the Thunder is directly a break-up lead. The reason why they are so optimistic is mainly because of their dominance against the Timberwolves G1. The biggest difference between this team is that they have better patience. In the second round against the Nuggets, the team lost many times at critical moments, showing the problem of young and lack of patience. However, the full intensity of seven games has also allowed them to find their own shortcomings and have better patience. This is the potential that the team to win the championship should have.

The Timberwolves swept through gentlemen in the first two rounds. Their weaknesses have not been hit before, but the Thunder already knows their strengths and weaknesses, and how to make up for their shortcomings. The Timberwolves can only adjust in this round of series. Edwards' destructive power on the offensive end is indeed not as good as Alexander. Even though Alexander's three-pointer is not as accurate as him, Alexander is too good at making fouls and cannot defend himself. Unless the referee can change the scale of the call, the Timberwolves' chances of defeating the Thunder will be very slim.

Speaking of this, what do you want to say about these 4 teams? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.