Thursday 010 World Cup qualifiers> Chile vs Argentina

Chile vs. Argentina's World Cup focus match is comprehensively analyzed:

⚽1. Basic rules of the World Cup South American region

Competition system and promotion quota

Argentina: It has locked in the top four in advance and advanced to the World Cup.

Chile: temporarily ranked 7th (16 points), and the remaining three games need to win and strive for the top five, with the probability of advancing only 3.3%.

Direct promotion: Top 4 points directly to the 2026 World Cup;

Playoff Qualification: No. 5 to participate in the Intercontinental Playoff.

Double Round Round Round Round Round Round Round Round Round Round Round, with a total of 18 rounds.

Promotion rules:

Current situation (as of June 2025):

🌟2. Key players' status and official list

Chile (coach: Ricardo Gareca)

Core player dynamics:

Alexis Sanchez (forward):

Historical scorer king of national team (51 goals), but age (36 years old) has caused the state to decline, with 0 goals in the last 6 World Cup qualifiers, and the club's playing time has sharply reduced.

Claudio Bravo (goalkeeper):

40-year-old veteran returns, but his movement speed drops, and his World Cup save success rate is only 68%.

Ben Brilton (forward):

The new generation of forwards hopes, heading against Argentina in the 2022 World Cup, but the club only scored 3 goals this season.

Chile's key players list (official announcement)

Position player list Goalkeeper Bravo (Real Betis), Cortez (Korocco) defender Maripan (Monaco), Paul Dias (River Plate), Medel (Korocco) midfielder Eric Pulpga (Framengo), Nunes (Boca Youth) forward Sanchez (Inter Milan), Brilton (Sheffield United), Vargas (Athletic Minero)

Argentina (Coach: Scaloni)

Core player dynamics:

Leonel Messi (Forward):

Although he missed the 2022 match against Chile, he scored a free kick against him in the 2021 Copa America, and his national team's career was 73 goals, and the club's form has recently recovered.

Lautaro Martinez (forward):

won the 2022 World Cup qualifiers against Chile, this season's Serie A Golden Boot (24 goals), with top finishing efficiency.

Angel Di Maria (wind):

2022 away against Chile, MVP in the Copa America final, but her physical fitness only supports 60 minutes of high-intensity games.

Argentina's key player list (official announcement)

Position player list Goalkeeper Damian Martinez (Aston Villa) defender Romero (Tottenham), Otamendi (Benfica), Molina (Atlanta), midfielder De Paul (Atlanta), McAllister (Liverpool) striker Messi (Miami International), Lautaro (Inter Milan), Di Maria (Benfica), Garnacho (Manchester United)

🧠3, coaching tactics and recent performances

Chile: Ineffective ball control + weak forward line

Gareca's tactics:

Always use the 433 formation, mainly crossing from the wing, relying on Sanchez to retreat, Brilton strives for the top. But the fatal weakness: only 3 goals were made in the last 6 World Cup qualifiers, and 63% possession rate was difficult to convert and score.

Home hazards:

FIFA penalty: Due to insulting fans, the opening rate of the stands in this game is limited to 50%, weakening the home advantage.

Argentina: Defensive counterattack + efficient ending

Scaloni system:

4231 formation is the main, Messi's free agent role, DePaul's midfield sweep, Lautaro suddenly grabbed the point. Data support: 12 clean sheets in the last 15 games and conceded only 4 goals.

Rotation strategy:

has qualified in advance, and may rotate the main players (such as Messi's substitute), and enable new players such as Gage (high center forward) and Barreldi (center-back).

⚔️4. Historical confrontations and key points of victory and loss

Data crush:

Argentina has won 7 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss against Chile in the last 12 times, with 5 consecutive away games.

Chile has won 0 home games against Argentina since the 2011 World Cup qualifiers.

Balance of victory:

Laotaro + Garnacho speed hit Chile's aging defense line (Medel 36 years old);

De Paul restricts Sanchez from retreating to the organization.

Using the Argentine rotation lineup insufficient running-in, high-intensity pressing the middle lane;

set balls give full play to their height advantage (Malipan 191cm).

Chile's upset conditions:

Argentina's stable victory elements:

Comparison of fighting intentions:

Argentina: training is the main thing to avoid injuries;

Chile: Loss = completely eliminated, all players will fight to the death.

🔮5. Professional results forecast

score tendency: 1-1 or 0-2 (Argentina is unbeaten).

Basics: Chile has only won 1 home game in the last 8 games, and the front line is silent; Argentina's defense is stable, and the substitute depth is dominant.

Impact on South America:

If Chile loses, it will miss the World Cup early, and the golden generation will officially end;

Argentina's unbeaten can consolidate the top scorer and pave the way for subsequent tactical experiments.