[Football Preview] 3 strings 1: Spain has the overall strength, and Romania s defense is more stable (with sweeping)

Wednesday 006 European Youth Championship Slovakia 21VS Spain 21

Match time: 2025-06-12 00:00

Basic face comparison

Overall performance Slovakia U21: 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 50%, offense and defense data are scored 21 goals and conceded 19 goals, with significant characteristics of strong offense and weak defense, with a greater potential for defense line

Spain U21: 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 60%, offense and defense data are scored 19 goals and conceded 11 goals, with better offense and defense balance, and fewer losses (only 2 games), and more stable condition.

Home and away performance Slovakia's home game: 0 wins (1 draw and 2 losses) in the last 3 games, with a 0% winning rate, and the home advantage is not reflected, and morale may be set.

Spain's away game: 2 wins (2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss), a winning rate of 67%, and its away game ability is acceptable, but it needs to be analyzed in combination with the strength of the opponent.

Key data comparing offensive firepower: Slovakia averages 2.1 goals per game > Spain averages 1.9 goals per game, Slovakia has higher offensive efficiency, but relies on individual breakthroughs or set pieces.

Defensive stability: Spain averages 1.1 goals per game

Historical confrontation and psychological factors

Previous confrontation: Slovakia beat Spain away, with a psychological advantage, but it should be noted that as a traditional strong team, Spain U21 has strong adjustment ability, and the disadvantages in historical confrontation may inspire fighting spirit. Young teams have great psychological fluctuations, and Slovakia needs to avoid underestimating the enemy due to the previous victory.

Data and Handicap Analysis

Initial Concessions: The main transfer 1.5 goals, reflecting the strong support of the institution for Spain. Slovakia failed to win three games at home, Spain's away winning rate was 67%, and the 1.5-goal concession was in line with the gap in strength between the two teams.

Key Observation points: If the on-the-spot handicap maintains 1.5 goals and Spain's water level drops, the probability of a big victory is high; if the shift drops to 1.25 goals, you need to defend against a small victory or a draw in Spain.

Tactics and Potential Risks

Slovak Tactics: Rely on fast counterattacks and set pieces (such as corner kicks, free kicks) to score, but the defense line is loose and may be penetrated by the Spanish midfielder. If the counterattack tactic is adopted, the air defense may be used by Spain.

Spanish tactics: mainly control the ball, tear open the defense line through midfield transmission (such as Pedri, Garvey and other cores), and limit the opponent by pressing at the defensive end. The away game may be firm and defend first, and use Slovakia to counterattack after being pressed.

Potential Risk: Slovakia: If the offensive end is restricted, the defense line may expose more loopholes due to pressure.

Spain: If you can't capture it for a long time, you may be ambushed by Slovakia due to impatience.

Comprehensive prediction

Brand tendency: Spain has the advantage in overall strength, stability and away performance; although Slovakia has psychological advantages, it has great potential for defense.

Handicap signal: The main transfer of 1.5 goals should be interpreted carefully. If it is combined with Spain's away winning rate and Slovakia's home sluggishness, it is more likely that the institution is truly optimistic about Spain's big victory.

Recommended direction: Win, draw, loss: Spain wins away (inclines to win big or small), single-choose Spain wins - 1.5 goals. Scores: 0-2, 1-3 (Spain controls the game and wins) or 1-1 (Slovakia is upset, but the probability is low). Total goals: 2-4 goals (Spain has high offensive efficiency, Slovakia's defense is unstable).

Summary

Slovakia has home and has a psychological advantage, but Spain's overall strength, offense and defense balance and away performance are all better. With a 1.5-goal concession, the institution has sufficient support for Spain. It is recommended to focus on Spain's away victory. The Slovakian defense line is difficult to withstand Spain's offensive.

Wednesday 007 European Youth Championship Portugal 21VS France 21

Match time: 2025-06-12 03:00

Match analysis: Portugal vs France

Basic face comparison

Overall performance Portugal: 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 60%, offense and defense data are scored 25 goals and conceded 14 goals. The characteristics of strong offense and weak defense are obvious, and the win and loss fluctuate greatly.

France: 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 50%, an unbeaten rate of 80%. The offense and defense data are scored 22 goals and conceded 14 goals, and the offense and defense balance is better and the state is more stable.

Home and away performance Portugal home game: 3 home games (win rate 60%) in the last 5 games, but the opponent's strength is not clear, so you need to be wary of the overestimation of "home bonuses".

France away game: 3 away games in the last 5 games (win rate 60%), the value of the opponent needs to be combined with the opponent (such as defeating the Netherlands and Belgium), and the away game is very resilient.

Comparison of offensive firepower with key data: Portugal averages 2.5 goals per game > France averages 2.2 goals per game, Portugal has higher offensive efficiency, but relies on the personal abilities of stars such as Ronaldo.

Defensive stability: Both teams conceded 1.4 goals per game, but French midfield interception ability (such as Kante and Joan Armeni) may weaken the opponent's offense.

Tactics and Potential Risks

Portuguese Tactics: Focus on fast counterattacks and set pieces. Hidden dangers on the line of defense: Diaz's defense may be under pressure against the French fast winger.

French tactics: The defensive end limits the opponent by pressing at high positions. Away strategy: It may be based on stability and use Portugal to counterattack after pressing.

Potential risks: Portugal: The offensive end may be silent; if the defense line is not limited, the risk of defense will intensify. France: If you concede a goal too early in the away game, you may fall into a passive position, but midfield control can reduce this risk.

Data and Handicap Analysis

Data tendency: Users mention "no data support", but usually institutions will give a handicap. Assuming it is a tie or Portugal's slight concession, the following factors need to be combined:

Historical confrontation: France has dominated Portugal in recent years (such as France won 1-0 in 2021), but Portugal won the 2016 European Cup final.

Handicap logic: If Portugal gives in, beware of "home fame" inducement; if the handicap is tied, France has a higher probability of unbeaten.

Comprehensive prediction

Brand tendency: France has a slightly superior overall strength, and its offense and defense are more balanced; Portugal's home winning rate is the same as France's away game, but its state fluctuates more.

Tactical Game: French midfield control may limit Portugal's counterattack, and Portugal's defense line needs to be impacted.

Recommended direction: Win, draw, loss: France is unbeaten away (inclined to draw or small wins), double-choose France +0.25 goals win/draw. Scores: 1-1, 0-1 (France's defensive counterattack wins) or 2-1 (Portuguese wins a small victory but needs to defend a draw). Total goals: 2-3 goals (the two teams are open for offense and defense, but France may focus on stability).

Summary

Although Portugal has home court, France's overall strength, stability and away performance are not inferior. If there is no obvious tendency at the data level, we should pay more attention to France's tactical execution and midfield advantages. This game is recommended to carefully view Portugal's home advantage, focus on France's away game, and even take away victory with more efficient offensive and defensive conversions.

Wednesday 008 European Youth Championship Italy 21VS Romania 21

Match time: 2025-06-12 03:00

Basic face comparison

Overall performance Italy: 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 40%, offense and defense data are scored 21 goals and conceded 10 goals. Offense and defense are balanced but have more draws (accounting for 50%), and lack of winning ability.

Romania: 7 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 10 games, with a winning rate of 70%. The offense and defense data are scored 20 goals and conceded 9 goals, with higher offense and defense efficiency, and only 2 games in the loss, making the condition more stable.

Home and away performance Italy's home game: 0 wins (3 draws and 2 losses) in the last 5 games, with a winning rate of 0%, and an extremely low home game winning rate, exposing obvious tactical or psychological problems.

Romania's away game: 3 away games (3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses), with a winning rate of 60%, and the away game winning rate is higher than that of Italy's home game, and the value of the value needs to be analyzed in combination with the strength of the opponent.

Key data comparing offensive firepower: Italy averages 2.1 goals per game > Romania averages 2.0 goals per game, Italy has a slight advantage.

Defensive stability: Romania averaged 0.9 goals per game

Data and handicap analysis

Initial concessions: Main handed over 1 goal, reflecting the strong support of the institution for Italy. Italy has lost 5 home games, Romania's away winning rate is 60%, and one goal concession is a bit contradictory. We need to be wary of the following possibilities:

Induce the upper set: Use the image of a traditional Italian strong team to attract chips to the home team, and Romania is in better shape.

Real optimistic: If the subsequent handicap maintains 1 goal and the water level is stable, it may imply that Italy has momentum to rebound.

Key Observation point: If the setback is lowered to 0.75 goals on the spot, the probability of Romania being unbeaten increases greatly; if one goal continues to be high, it is necessary to prevent Italy from winning a small victory.

Tactics and Risk Points

Italian Tactics: Rely on midfield control (such as Barrera, Jorginho) and personal ability on the front line (such as Laspadori), but weak home offense may be due to conservative tactics. Hidden dangers on defense: After Chiellini retired, his defense stability has declined, and it may be tight to face Romania's rapid counterattack.

Romanian tactics: focus on defensive counterattacks, use midfield interception to create threats through the wing (such as Mikhaira). Stabilizing and defending the game first may be the first to score through set pieces or efficient counterattacks.

Potential risk: Italy: If you are anxious to attack under home pressure, the air defense may be used. Romania: If you concede a goal too early in the away game, you may be forced to attack and expose loopholes in the defense line.

Comprehensive prediction

Brand tendency: Romania is in better form, balanced offense and defense, and a higher away winning rate; Italy is sluggish at home, but there is still a threat to the offensive end.

Handicap signal: The main goal should be interpreted carefully. If combined with the background of Italy's 0 wins at home, it is more likely that the institution will use its fame to build momentum, and the actual probability of Romania being unbeaten is higher.

Recommended direction: Win, draw, loss: Romania is unbeaten away (inclined to draw or a small loss of one goal), double-choose Romania + 1 goal win/draw. Scores: 1-1, 0-0 (both teams have a steady defense, and Italy's weak offense may lead to a small score) or 1-2 (Romania's counterattack won). Total goals: 1-2 goals (defense dominates the game, and the number of goals is expected to be low).

Summary

Although Italy has a home court, its state is sluggish and its defense is unstable recently; Romania is in a hot state and has the ability to score points away. With a 1-goal concession, we need to be wary of institutions induced to the home team. We also recommend paying attention to Romania's away game and focusing on preventing Italy's offensive end from continuing to lose its offense.

Note: The article is only the initial view. The earlier time is due to the changes in data, which may affect the results. Please refer carefully. It is more stable on the spot. Next, there is a left small corner center of gravity analysis.