Sunday 025 Serie A: Venice vs. Juventus - the old woman wins steadily, and the Champions League seat is close to you!

At 2:45 am on May 26, Beijing time, a focus showdown will be held in the 38th round of the Serie A, with Venice playing against Juventus at home. This game is not only the final battle between the two teams, but also the fate of Juventus' Champions League qualification. Based on recent status, historical confrontations and key data, Juventus' chances of winning are extremely high. The following is a detailed analysis:

1. Venice: The hope of relegation is slim, and the state is sluggish and it is difficult to stop the strong enemy

The relegation situation is grim

Venice currently ranks second from the bottom of the league with 29 points, and there is still a 2-point gap from Empoli in the safe area. What's even more disadvantageous is that they need to meet the conditions for their home defeat to Juventus, Empoli and Lecce to relegate at the same time, which is almost zero. After defeating Cagliari 0-3 in the last round, coach Di Francesco admitted that the team's mentality had collapsed and his hope of relegation was "little".

Off and defense collapsed completely

Offensive and weak offensive: Venice has only scored 8 goals in the last 10 league games, averaging less than 1 goal per game, and its offensive efficiency ranks at the bottom of the league.

Defensive loopholes: conceded 53 goals in 37 rounds of the league, with averaging 1.43 goals per game, ranking third from the bottom in defense.

Core injury: Captain central defender Idzes was suspended, main central defender Svoboda was reimbursed for a torn cruciate ligament season, and the defense line was ineffective.

Home performance is unstable

Venezia's home record is 5 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses this season, and she has almost no power to fight back when facing a strong team. Although he had tied Lazio and Naples, his overall home winning rate was only 27.78%, far lower than Juventus' away performance.

2. Juventus: Champions League qualification battles life and death, double crushing fighting spirit and strength

The situation is urgent

Juventus currently ranks fourth with 67 points, only leading Roma by 1 point. If you win this game, you will directly lock in a Champions League place; if you draw or lose, you may be overtaken by Roma or Lazio. Therefore, the team's fighting spirit is unprecedentedly strong.

Recently recovered in form

The last 10 league games have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, and remained unbeaten in the last 4 rounds (2 wins, 2 draws).

outstanding performance on the defensive end: he conceded only 7 goals in the last 8 league games, conceded less than 1 goal per game, and ranked second in the league in defensive stability.

The offensive end has blossomed in multiple points: Frahovic, Ilditz, Muyani and other forward players have recovered, and KopMinas' return has further enhanced the midfield control.

The historical confrontation has an absolute advantage

The two sides have had the last 12 Serie A confrontations, and Juventus remains unbeaten (10 wins and 2 draws).

In the last 5 matches, Juventus won 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals per game, while Venice has only scored 1 goal.

Juventus has a more obvious psychological advantage when he plays Venice away, and has achieved 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in his last five away matches.

3. Comparison of key data

Data items Venice Juventus' last 10 games win rate 10% 40% offensive efficiency 0.81 goals/1.49 goals/area defensive efficiency 1.43 goals/area 0.90 goals/area home and away performance Home win rate 27.78% away win rate 33.33% Key player status Forward Pohyanpalo has recovered from injury Front Trident status

4. Injury impact analysis

Venice: The main center defender Svoboda (torn cruciate ligament), captain Idzes (suspended), midfielder multiple goal Coniggoi and other four were injured, with incomplete defense.

Juventus: Bremer, Kabar, Milik and other 7 people were injured, but the main lineup was basically complete, and Vlahovic, Ilditz, and Kopminas can all play.

5. Results prediction

Based on the above analysis, Juventus has an absolute advantage in fighting spirit, strength, offensive and defensive data and historical confrontations. Venice's pressure on relegation may become the fuse for its mentality collapse. Juventus is expected to win 2-0 or 1-2 and successfully secure a Champions League place.