Saturday, August 2, Han Ju: Ulsan Hyundai VS Suwon FC Tournament Study In-depth Analysis

1. Comparison of recent state and strength

‌Ulsan Hyundai‌

ranks first in the league (10 points ahead of the second place), and showed strong dominance in 16 games

outstanding offensive firepower: 2 goals per game, top of the league goals number

extremely high away game winning rate (6 wins in 8 away games)

Recent state fluctuations: two consecutive rounds (3-3 draws Daejeon, 0-2 loss to Jeonbuk Hyundai), but the scene is still superior

‌Key hidden dangers: The core defender Kim Young-kwon is absent due to injury

‌Suwon FC‌

ranks tenth, and the pressure of relegation is significant

‌Home game has certain combat power: 4 of the 5 wins this season are from home

‌Defensive loopholes are serious: Average of 1.88 goals conceded per game, the worst defense in the league

defeated deputy squad leader Suwon Samsung away in the last round, ending four consecutive losses, but the value is insufficient

2. Historical confrontation and tactical key points

‌compression advantage‌: Ulsan Hyundai has 9 wins and 1 loss in the last 10 confrontations, and the psychological suppression is obvious

Tactical game‌:

Ulsan needs to crack dense defense: Suwon may shrink the defense line at home, Ulsan needs to play the advantages of crossing and set-pieces on the side (the top three in the corner kick conversion rate of the league)

Suwon relies on counterattack: If Ulsan's defense line makes mistakes due to Kim Young-kwon's absence, Suwon's high-altitude bombing may create a threat

3, victory and loss deduction

results Probability Key basis Score deduction

‌Ulsan win 65% Strength crush + stable away firepower 2-0, 3-1

draw 25% Ulsan state fluctuation + Suwon home resilience 1-1, 2-2

Suwon win 10% Ulsan defense line hazard + relegation team burst potential 2-1 (setting ball win)

‌Conclusion: Ulsan Hyundai's overall strength, confrontation and data support are obvious, away win is the first choice; if you retreat on the spot or have a high-temperature attrition battle (physical energy critical point 60 minutes), you need to defend a draw