Lao Min s football match analysis on August 19: Wanderers take the lead first, and the Champions League dark horse Paphos creates a cold again?

The strong team has been active in the European competition all year round. Last season, they stopped in the Champions League qualifying round early and moved to the Europa League to enter the quarterfinals. The Wanderers have been suppressed by the Celtics in recent seasons. Although they won the runner-up last season, they were 17 points behind their mortal enemies. In order to break the dilemma, the club has been the team's new coach in the new season. Under his leadership, the Wanderers eliminated Panasina and Bilson in the first two laps respectively, surpassing last season to enter the playoffs. The league performance was very bad, and they only scored 2 points against two weak teams.

Bruges has entered the Champions League in seven of the past nine seasons. Last season, they outdated Atlanta and entered the semi-finals. Unfortunately, they failed to go further when Villa was unable to take it. Last season, Bruges failed to defend his title with a three-point disadvantage, so he had to start from the qualifying round and defeated Salzburg Red Bull 4-2 in the last round, easily qualifying for promotion. After four rounds of the new season, Bruges won 9 points and won six victories in the last seven games. The team is in very good shape. In terms of personnel, Odones is injured and is expected to return at the end of this month. Mihal is doubtful to play.

The two teams shook hands 2-2 in the warm-up match last month. Referring to the data of this game, the home team started with a reasonable start of -0.25. At present, it has given a balanced trend on both sides, downshifting and increasing the home team's return value. It is not easy for the Wanderers to win the first round. I think Bruges has made a difference away.

[Tuesday 003] Beihongxing vs Paphos

[Overview of both sides]

Belgrade Redxing is the strongest team in Sel's Super League with a deep historical background. They have reached the Champions League group stage in the last two seasons. It is not easy for a team in the non-five leagues to do this, which shows that the team's current lineup is strong. Paphos is a Cypriot team. They have participated in the Europa League qualifiers at most before. They have created a great miracle when they come to the UEFA Champions League qualifiers to enter the play-offs.

[Special Reminder]

Bei Hongxing has rich experience in the Champions League, and this is the first time Paphos has played the Champions League qualifier this season.

[Psychological Error]

The market support rate for wins, draws and losses minus the corresponding result probability of each bonus, and the percentage obtained is the error value, which measures psychological error.

Win: 8%, draw: 3%, loss: -5%

[Data disassembly] Although Bei Hongxing has the advantage in strength, he broke out in a cold draw at home in the Champions League, while Paphos just made a surprise double defeat to Kiev, both sides had pulling power. At this time, the European index can lock in the main victory. The Asian index will give 1 medium and high bonus. There is a certain risk of a big victory for the home team, so it is better to win a small goal.