Denmark s top scorer battle! China and Japan are going to open up the gap in the European war, Frederick insists on "pulling his teeth" to grab points

1. Analysis of fighting intention: The home team has no worries about promotion, and the away team has a back-to-earth battle

Zhongjitland (home team): A 3-1 away win in the first leg, holding a two-goal advantage, and you only need to be unbeaten in this game to advance to the Europa League. The fighting spirit is clear, the morale of home games is high, and some main players may be rotated to retain their physical fitness, but they will still strive to win at home (8 wins in the last 10 games).

Fredericksta (visiting team): Surviving in desperate situation, you must win more than two goals to turn around, your fighting spirit is overwhelming but your strength is limited. The pressure of away games is huge and you need to attack with all your strength, but the strong offense and weak defense may expose loopholes in the defense line, and the tactics are forced to be radical.

2. Fatal wounded: The home team has limited impact, the away team is paralyzed on offense and defense

ChinaJetland:

The main central defender Dior (fractured foot) is reimbursed for the season, but the substitute combination is experienced and the overall defense line is stable (conceding only 2 goals in the last 5 games).

No major injuries were missing in other positions, and the double arrows of the forward line Gruda + Castillo were in a hot state (scoring 3 goals in the first round).

Fredericksta (the wounded soldiers are full of camp):

midfield core Bilqueso (muscle strain) is absent, and his midfield interception ability plummeted (interception rate is reduced by 30%).

forward Faras (leg injury) was absent and lost key scoring points on the offensive end (40%).

The core of the defense Sigurd (back surgery) has been absent for a long time, and there are obvious loopholes in the defense line cooperation.

Key summary: The away team's midfield is paralyzed, and its strength on both ends of offense and defense has dropped sharply, and the residual formation is difficult to compete with the home team system.

3. Core data analysis: The home team crushed at home, and the away team collapsed away

Historical confrontation: Jedland won 3-1 in the first leg, with huge psychological advantages. The two teams only met twice, and the home team had the advantage.

Offensive and Defensive Comparison:

Offensive end: Average 0.8 goals per game, relying on counterattack but inefficient (only 2 goals in the last 5 games).

Defensive end: Average 1.6 goals per game, with a lot of loopholes in the defense (the last 5 consecutive losses).

Offensive end: Average 2.3 goals at home, winger Olson has a strong breakthrough ability (average 5.5 breakthroughs per game in the last 3 games).

Defensive end: Average 0.8 goals per game at home, high-pressure pressing tactics restrain the counterattack team.

ChineseJetland:

Fredericksta:

State Trend:

ChineseJetland: 6 wins and 4 draws in the last 10 games, 7 wins at home, and dominant level in offense and defense.

Fredericksta: 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 games, 5 consecutive losses away, and morale is sluggish.

Odds support:

The main handicap is 1 goal/and a half ball in the initial Asian handicap, and the market will rise to 1.25 goals in the main handicap, and the institutions will support the main win.

European index has a main winning odds of 1.40, a away win of 6.00, and a draw of 3.50, with a main winning probability of more than 70%.

4. Tactical game: the home team controls the field and suppresses it, and the away team takes a desperate bet

Zhongjitland: mainly plays 4-3-3 high-pressure tactics, with a ball possession rate of more than 60%, crosses from the wing + set ball threat (corner ball conversion rate in the first round is 33%). The defense line retreated quickly and the counterattack efficiency was extremely high, and the visiting team advanced to the tactics.

Fredericksta: It is expected to adopt a 5-4-1 iron barrel formation, relying on counterattacks and set pieces (high center Nelson has a success rate of 78% for the top-scoring). However, after the midfield lost control, it was difficult to organize the counterattack, and the defense line was forced to be exposed to high pressure and was easily broken through.

5. Sporting lottery recommendation and depth logic: Main victory and stabilize courage, defend against unpopular victory

Direction: Main victory (China-Jetland) (required)

First choice: Let victory (China-Jetland-1 win)🔥 (high return)

Choice: Win (half-game)🌟

Score prediction: 3-0 / 3-1 / 2-0🎯

Goals: Large (≥3 goals)⚽️

But today I have a high compensation