August 22: Today s event analysis and prediction, selected 3 game predictions are welcome to refer to.
Real Betis event analysis: New season dilemma and lineup hidden dangers: Real Betis suffered a serious blow at the start of La Liga in 2025-2026. He drew 1-1 with the newly promoted Elche 1-1 away from the first round, exposing the weakness of the offensive end and the hidden dangers of the defensive end. The team's core Isco will be absent from a fibula fracture until November, with severe damage to midfield creativity, while the absence of main center back Diego Llorente (hamstring injury) and midfielder Mark Rocca (muscle fatigue) has resulted in a decrease in defense stability. New winger Riquelme (Atletico Madrid on loan) has not yet been integrated into the system. Ruival, who played the guest winger, has only 18% success rate in the first round, making it difficult to replace Anthony who left the team. Although Pellegrini insisted on the 4-2-3-1 formation, after Isco was absent, Lo Celso was forced to move forward as the front midfielder, and his pass success rate dropped from 82% to 67% under pressure, directly affecting the efficiency of the offensive organization. Home advantage and tactical adjustment: Betis' home court Benitobi Lamarin Stadium was moved to Rakatuha Stadium due to renovation. The new field has excellent lawn quality, but high temperature (32℃ is expected to be played on the game) may affect the players' physical fitness. The team's historical home winning rate reached 50% (9 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses last season), but the morale was not won in the first round of the new season, and its morale was set. Tactically, Betis relies on wing breakthroughs (17 crosses in the first round) and set pieces (35% of the goals came from set pieces), but center Joselu (1.93 meters) had only 52% success rate for the top of the high altitude, making it difficult to end effectively. In addition, the full-back has a prominent problem of returning to defense after assisting. Elche counterattacked three times in the first round. If it cannot be improved, it may become Alaves' key target for attack. Alaves Event Analysis: The New Season Begins and Defensive Resilience: Alaves defeated Levante 2-1 at home in the first round, achieving a good start in the new season, continuing the defensive resilience of the relegation stage last season (only 7 losses in 43 games). The team adopts a 4-4-2 formation, focusing on crossing and set-piece tactics on the wing. The combination of Da Vinci on the right (successfully broke through 2 preseasons) and Bicente on the left (successfully crossed 28%) created 10 corner kicks, and center Tony Martinez (1.88 meters) used his high-altitude advantage to score a winning goal. On the defensive end, the temporary defense line composed of central defenders Turnerglia (9 clearances, 8.1 score) and Garces (6 clearances) performed steadily, but the main central defenders Antvi (suspended) and Ajay (injured), and the tacit understanding of the defense line still needs to be completed. Away tactics and history confrontation: Alaves relies on defensive counterattacks away, with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the last 10 away games, with an unbeaten rate of 70%, but his ball control rate is only 42% when facing high-pressure pressing, making him easily passive. The team has a psychological advantage in history against Betis, with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last five matches, including a 3-1 away victory last season. Tactical, Alaves is good at using long passes to rush (42 long passes per game, fourth in La Liga) and set pieces (38% of the set pieces scored in the Spanish Second Division last season). Center Mayoral (1.88 meters) has a 55% success rate in high-altitude top-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square-square Comprehensive event analysis: Betis breaks through the wing vs Alaves defender on the right: Betis Ruival on the left (speed 33km/h) will hit Alaves right guard Castro (turning speed 4.1 seconds/10 meters). If Ruival can break through the cross, Joselu's high-altitude top-square (52% success rate) may become the key to breaking the deadlock. But Alaves' right midfielder Vincent (two steals) may retreat to assist in defense and compress the cross space. Alaves crossed on the wing vs Betis air defense ability: Alaves Da Vinci (2 breakthroughs in preseason) and Bicente on the left (28% crossed success rate) will frequently cross, center Tony Martinez (1.88 meters) needs to suppress Betis central defender Natan (1.85 meters) at the high altitude top. If Betis' central defender combination Natan + Baltra (134 clearances) cannot effectively intercept, Alaves may create a threat through set pieces (10 corner kicks). Although Real Betis has a home court, his strength has been greatly damaged due to the injury wave. He relies on crosses and set pieces on the offensive end, and his efficiency is doubtful; Alaves's defense is stable, his crosses and set pieces are mature, and his historical confrontations are dominant. Alaves is expected to create a threat through crosses on the wing and set pieces, and Betis may lose points again if he fails to improve his defensive conversion. Combining institutional tendencies and data, the probability of a draw is high, and Alaves may not be defeated away. Friday 008 Premier League West Ham United vs Chelsea wins and draws recommendation: Loss/draws recommendation: 0-2 1-2 1-1 Number of goals: 2/3 goals Friday 009 English Championship Derbyshire vs Putrajaya wins and draws recommendation: Let the wins and score recommendation: 1-0 1-1 2-1 Number of goals: 1/2/3 goals Friday 010 La Liga Betis vs Alaves wins and draws recommendation: double draws Score recommendation: 1-0 1-1 2-1 Number of goals: 1/2/3 goals
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