Lise Sports > Football > 6.9 Two daily score analysis: Estonia vs Norway, Italy vs Moldova

6.9 Two daily score analysis: Estonia vs Norway, Italy vs Moldova

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003 World Cup qualifiers, Estonia vs Norway

Recommended: Leave loss, 3 goals, 4 goals

Recommended score: 0-3,0-4

• Team's recent status: Estonia has been in a sluggish state recently, with only 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses in the last 10 games, averaging 1.2 goals and conceded 1.7 goals. He has also performed poorly at home, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in his last 10 home games, and has conceded 2 goals per game. Norway is in its peak state, winning three consecutive victories in the last three World Cup qualifiers, scoring 12 goals and conceding only 2 goals. In the game 3-0 at home victory over Italy on June 7, Haaland scored a single goal, Odegao contributed an assist, and the team showed strong offensive and defensive dominance.

• Lineup Strength: The total value of the Norwegian team is as high as 480 million euros. It has top stars like Haaland and Odegao. Their firepower on the attack end is the top in Europe. The Estonian team's value is less than 1/10 of Norway's. The lineup is mainly small league players. The overall strength is far behind Norway, and the front line lacks stable scoring points. In addition, Estonian main central defender Carol Metz is absent due to injury, which will weaken the team's defensive stability.

• Historical confrontation: The two teams have met in the past three times, Estonia has achieved 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss, 2 goals, and 2 goals conceded, which seems to be on par. But the latest showdown was several years ago and its reference value was limited.

• Match motivation: Currently in Group I, Norway has won three consecutive victories at the beginning and led the way with 9 points. This game is intended to expand its lead and steadily move towards the qualification for the World Cup main competition. Estonia ranked third with 1 win and 2 losses in 3 games, with 3 points. Although it is difficult to win, it is eager to score points at home and improve its ranking.

• Tactical style: Estonia usually adopts a defensive counterattack strategy when facing strong teams, focusing on stabilizing the defense line, but facing Norway's rapid and changeable offensive system, the defensive pressure is high. Norway often adopts the tactic of high-pressure pressing combined with fast counterattack. High-altitude balls and set balls have great threats. Now, under the leadership of Odegao, the midfield short pass penetration ability is also strong, which can effectively crack the opponent's intensive defense.

Overall, Norway has the advantage in overall strength, is in better shape, and has a higher probability of winning. However, Estonia has a home advantage and has a strong ability to reverse when falling behind in the first half, which may also cause some trouble for Norway

004 World Cup qualifiers, Italy VS Moldova

Recommended: Let's win, 4 goals, 5 goals

Recommended score: 4-0,5-0

• Team strength: Italy ranks 9th in the world, with a total value of over 700 million euros, and it has an overall advantage in offense, defense and midfield control. He averaged 8.7 shots per game, scored 2.1 goals per game, and his front line is worth 157 million euros, which is a great threat to the offensive end. Moldova ranks 152nd in the world, with the team worth only 14.9 million euros, with an average ball possession rate of 43.4%, weak midfield strength, and great defensive pressure when facing a strong team.

• Recent status: Italy has won 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the last 10 games, scoring 17 goals and conceding 15 goals, with a home winning rate of only 25%, but still has the ability to win against a weak team. Moldova has won 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 10 games, scoring 12 goals and conceding 16 goals, but its opponents are generally weak in their ability to win, and when they encounter strong away games, they are weak.

• Historical confrontation: Italy won all four games against Moldova, scoring 12 goals and conceding 1 goal, with a clear advantage. The latest encounter was the 2020 friendly match, with Italy winning 6-0.

• Lineup situation: Italian main central defenders Gabia, Calafiori and Buongiorno are all absent, Archerbi refused to call due to conflicts, midfielder core Locatelli is injured, the defense line and midfield strength are damaged, but the substitute lineup is sufficient, and the impact is relatively controllable. Moldova has a complete lineup with no obvious injuries, which is conducive to tactical execution, but its overall strength is limited and it is difficult to make up for the gap with Italy.

• Match motivation: As a traditional strong team, the World and European qualifiers are the top priority. Facing the weak team Moldova, they will definitely strive to win at home to ensure that the group qualifies. Moldova has limited strength and is mainly tied for away games, but it may be difficult to achieve success in facing Italy.

Overall, although Italy has injuries, its overall strength is far superior to Moldova, and it has home advantage and a strong desire to win, and is expected to win a large score.

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